Iran and the failure to rebuild the Shiite alliance

2018/9/2 04:47:33 PM

Unlike in previous years, this time Iran failed to unite the Shiite forces to form a new Iraqi government after a rebellion by parties opposed to Iranian hegemony, and as an alternative plan Iran is now working to divide it to avenge those parties.

The country that has ended a difficult election due to fraud is facing a tougher test in forming the new government because of the conflict between traditional parties considering repeating the scenario of the past years and another revolutionary that has decided to take a new policy to meet Iraqis' voices in achieving national unity. And curbing external influence.

Iran, which represents the most prominent player in the Iraqi arena, has so far failed to unite the winning Shiite parties in the elections, namely, "victory" and the Sadrist movement, "coalition of state law" and "Fatah" and "wisdom."

(42 seats) led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, the Sadrist movement led by Moqtada al-Sadr (54 seats) and the "wisdom stream" (19 seats) led by Ammar al-Hakim and announced their rejection And decided to conclude a rare alliance with the leader of the coalition, "national" (22 seats) Iyad Allawi and small Sunni forces.

The second group includes the "coalition of state law" (25 seats) led by Nuri al-Maliki and "the conquest" (47 seats) led by Hadi al-Ameri, a team close to Iran.

Both parties are competing to form the largest parliamentary bloc within the new parliament to win the task of choosing the new prime minister and forming a government according to the Iraqi constitution, unlike in previous years when the Shiites were united in a large bloc and negotiated with the Kurds and Sunnis on sharing positions.

Last week held the "victory" and the Sadr movement and "wisdom" and "national" and Sunni deputies historic meeting in a hotel in Baghdad was to announce the formation of the largest bloc, but Iran intervened and prevented the accession of other parties Kurdish and Sunni to the meeting, which led to The meeting failed.

"The meeting of the Babylon Hotel, despite its failure to achieve its goal, was a challenge to Iranian influence. Representatives of Kurdish and Sunni parties were supposed to join the meeting, but the pressure of Iranian figures who visited the country prevented them from joining the meeting," a political official said.

The official is referring to the controversial visit by the general of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Qasem Soleimani, to Iraq. Iranian and Iraqi media close to Iran have broadcast pictures of his presence in Iraq two days before the meeting.

But it is interesting that Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi prevented the landing of the plane that was carrying Soleimani in Iraq, even forced to land in Erbil, according to local media reported.

The relationship between Abadi and Tehran broke down after he announced his commitment to US sanctions against Iran. The man became in a difficult position and his ambition to remain in office became difficult and he decided to join Sadr and Hakim away from the Iranian axis represented by Fatah and the State of Law.

Iran failed to meet the "Babylon Hotel" not only to prevent the Sunni and Kurdish parties from joining the meeting, but it was able to create a split within the coalition of "victory" when the National Security Adviser Faleh al-Fayad secretly clipped from the "victory", which was a member after the "State Law "and" conquest "to convince him in return for his candidacy for prime minister.

"Our coalition has been targeted for months because our goals are national and we reject external influence and Iraqi decisions are not affected by any international resolutions. We held the meeting last Friday and we stressed the unity of our alliance despite the absence of some members from the meeting," said al-Hilal's deputy.

Last Saturday revealed the content of the Iranian deal with the Kurdish and Sunni forces to prevent them from joining Abadi and Sadr, when the Deputy Chairman of the "popular crowd" Abu Mahdi Engineer surprise decision to withdraw all factions from the Sunni cities and towns in which Kurds, Arabs and Turkmen, and this demand is the essence of what you wish Kurdish and Sunni parties, which is good but its timing has been controversial.

Nouri al-Maliki meets with Osama al-Nujaifi, who exchanged accusations over the fall of Mosul in the past three years, as well as the meeting of Nujaifi with Hadi al-Amiri, leader of the "Fath" alliance, which includes factions "popular crowd" in the presence of Khamis al-Khangar political A Sunni who entered politics for the first time after working behind the scenes by supporting Sunni parties.

But Abadi canceled the decision during a surprise visit to the headquarters of the "popular crowd" in the presence of all faction leaders except Abu Mahdi al-Mohandes. He stressed that the decision adopted by the engineer's political purpose seeks gains in the negotiations to form a government and not the redeployment of security forces, He should not push himself into politics.

Abadi's decision to push the Sunni forces to reconsider their alliances, and announced that it is still looking for the appropriate team to form the largest bloc after it found that the decision of Abu Mahdi Engineer will not be implemented on the ground.

MP Nahida Daini says the Sunni parties are still neutral between the two rival Shiite groups to form the largest bloc, and stressed that negotiations are continuing with all parties.

On the nineteenth of this month, the Federal Court announced the ratification of the election results, which introduced the process of forming the new government on constitutional dates can not be penetrated, and began the Iraqi parties in a race against time.

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