Western analyst: Iraq will come out a winner after the Arab Spring

20.08.2013 BAGHDAD - Abdul Ali Salman

Although the tone of pessimism that mar the studies dealing with Iraq based on the current data of the acute internal political conflicts that are mostly linked to regional conflicts, but the analyst Ricardo Dogolen, sees in his article written in Antrzseathe by Asia Times' otherwise.

The author focuses on the point prepared substantial represented in the fact that most of the Arab countries close to Iraq in conflict sharp Iraq had overcome.

He says «The witness Lebanon aftershocks from a bout recent violence from south to Tripoli, while floating around Cairo demonstrations and tearing Syria devastating civil war by proxy, which spared for its traditional, despite the aura of Finance that surround Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates but these countries do not have the political strength , manpower or regional unit that qualifies them alone to lead the crumbling chessboard in the Middle East.

The writer says that the facts on the ground indicate that the coming years will see the emergence of a power vacuum which Arab likely be filled by extremist and fundamentalist groups which increases the erosion of the ability of States to confirm their policies in the region.

 These elements constitute a major source of direct warning to policy-makers, regional and international, and analysts should not reject the role that Iraq is still able to do.

The author argues: The questions that you do not find answers in Iraq, such as the absence of personal safety and the presence of terrorism and lack of central government control over the territory are Amurmdillh because they give the impression of instability and the presence of non-issues to resolve.

While preparing the region for the long years of conflict and related accessories, Iraq passed a bloody and destructive war now focuses on the reconstruction effort. Such efforts to attract more international investors who, in turn, will increase the level of experience of millions of young Iraqis who are looking for opportunities to live in peace and security.

Ten years after the start of military operations led by the United States in Mesopotamia, could come up with a number of conclusions regarding the results of the international campaign in Iraq and their effects. There is a clear result: while the Syrians are engaged in a civil war by proxy to rid themselves of Bashar al-Assad, while Egypt is going slowly towards political collapse, the international intervention in Iraq was able to Aharir the country from Saddam's regime.

It is clear that the cost is paid by the Iraqi civilian population did not change as a result of high rising risks posed by the continuing terrorist threat. However, the country at the present time the constitution and political institutions progressing slowly towards national representative system.

Despite all the legislative elections remains full of obstacles and also cause considerable violence, but the legal framework is available, and thus lay the foundation on which the country's future can be built upon.

Moreover, the fall of Saddam's regime and the formation of a new structure is multi-polar market economy can be extremely useful for the citizens of the country in the medium term.

In comparison, the Ocean «Iraq Been In fact, its Arab neighbors a decade, and they just started to search for the rules of a new political and economic.

While the war destroyed the country and its inhabitants, the new situation in Iraq distanced from the regional quagmire.

The second point to be emphasized is that the country now has all the necessary paperwork to re-establish itself as an economy successful regional, based in that the oil resources of the huge, and the fact that Iraq is the hub that connects the Gulf, Central Asia and the Near East with the possibility of creating an industrial sector strong ».

Attempts have been distributed reconstruction in all sectors of the Iraqi economy and society, which is a real opportunity for the country.

The ability of the government and the private sector to raise the interest of foreign investors and meet their needs a big challenge, but hundreds of Europeans, and North America, and Chinese companies are operating already exist in Iraq and all that a strong indicator of the attractiveness of the country.

The main factor which must be taken into account lies in the diversity posed by Iraq's economic ambitions that take advantage of all the countries and investors from all sectors and all sizes.

Finally, there is also a force is in the country phenomenon of human his head. There are 30 million people under the age of 30% of them for 15 years. And many young Iraqis are willing to travel abroad to improve their professional capabilities and contribute to the reconstruction of their country and to bridge the gap that was separating them who were once the giants of the Middle East such as Syria and Egypt.

Should not misinterpret these indicators. Iraq still faces enormous challenges and security environment in the country do not allow a safe move outside the protected area.

 Central and exaggerated by the political and economic power in Baghdad severely contradicts with the Kurdish region and slow economic development in Basra because of bureaucratic obstacles and the legislature.

In addition, the rise of Iraq is likely itself ordered Ergbh the regional players of the Arabs and non-Arabs with caution and draw plans and policies to keep the country always subordinate to them in all aspects of commercial, cultural and energy.


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