**** I believe this is what Brazani wanted to do for a long time and has been working behind the scenes to accomplish it*****

Is there a Kurdish state on the horizon?
Date: Mon, 25/06/2012 9:18



Daniel Brod *
While the media focus on the Iranian nuclear talks and the war in Syria and Egypt in the elections, Iraqi Kurdistan briskly paced around Baghdad to loosen the grip of nationalist ambitions, mainly, the establishment of an independent Kurdish state.

There are still many obstacles on the road, together with a lot of regional and international opponents, not to mention the task of overcoming the spider's web of political opponents of the Kurds. While there are many areas of concern, and promote new geological facts of the case the Iraqi Kurds. And those facts are embodied in a new pipeline deal with Turkey, Kurdistan, Iraq transferred to a player and take decisive in the Middle East, and who can say that he can move the push for Kurdish independence - sooner rather than later.

While ethnic Kurds spread throughout Iraq, Iran, Syria and Turkey, we see that their fellow Iraqis have applied more at the level of achievement of the Millennium Kurdish national. Since 2005, the Iraqi Kurdistan region's semi-autonomous, as well as it has also secured the special forces, which are relatively stable and are increasingly able to make decisions on foreign policy of unilateralism - which raises the ire of Baghdad. In addition, contributed to the defeat of the main threat against them, the Iraqi army at the hands of the invading Americans in 2003, largely in the extension of Kurdish sovereignty. He dedicated America's continued presence of the internal stability and growth, while enabling busy area in the Sunni-Shiite bloodshed without pity, Iraqi Kurdistan from the same trench as a player ungainly in Iraqi politics.

With that in mind, remains the subject of oil and one of the major obstacles that stand in the face of Kurdish independence in Iraq. Vkkian Nam, reliable Kurds on the southern Arab neighbor to turn and charge the newly discovered oil reserves to foreign markets. In the meantime, undermine the Arab-Kurdish conflict continued for a long time in Iraq oil deals within the existing, significantly conducive to a final halt all shipments of oil from Kurdistan. Iraq is aware that control of Iraqi Kurdistan is, as a key in the control of the oil infrastructure, and on the market. And thus unable to determine the capacity in the sale of Kurdish oil as it sees fit - a major step toward independence from the Arabs.

Then late last month, he said that Ankara and Erbil have agreed to extend the pipeline capacity of Iraqi Kurdistan to the Turkish estuaries, two of them Oqamta without approval from Baghdad. The plan has raised the ire of Baghdad, not only because of its timing - because the Shiite Iraq are engaged in a diplomatic row with Turkey - but also because of the Turkish intervention aimed Orwellian in the internal affairs of Iraq. Were it not for the Kurds, the pipeline is a strategic parole, and is likely to alleviate the problem of long-term monopoly of Baghdad, the development of infrastructure in Iraq.

Nor is the process of building and securing the pipelines in the Middle East an easy task. Hence, the plan Turkish - Kurdish alludes to the faith of Ankara's ability to secure Iraq's Kurdistan region and enable the continuous flow of energy to meet the growing needs of Turkey. This means that the Iraqi Kurds Antoon on the apprehension of Turkish intentions in the light of the ongoing conflict between Iraq's Shiite and Sunni Turkey, as well as to the nature of systems of political forces in the Middle East. And to that point, stairs to the Kurds to be a stone chess in the region of strong competition, mainly between Iraq and Iran, Turkey and Syria - and they are all fighting for the private boarding geostrategic.

With that in mind, the Kurdish alliances often short-term and based on need, which means in this case that the warmth of the Kurdish-Turkish relations does not mean that Turkey wants the independence of Iraqi Kurdistan. Has a Turkey dispute the Kurdish extremely violent, and so on, the cooperation between the Kurds and the Turks probably just a strategy to increase the influence of Ankara in Iraq by taking advantage of the political stalemate currently in Baghdad, while the orientation in which slam to rival the new regional, Maliki's government aligned Iranian. In spite of this, provide them with pipelines in the form of major gains in energy infrastructure. Thus we see that the Kurds are happy to play along with Turkey as long as their partnership to alleviate the pressure cause the most pressing - distance themselves from the quagmire of the Iraq crisis.

In the meantime, widening the scope of the crisis at a time of vulnerability in Iraq's ability to control the Kurdish entity a stable and ethnically homogeneous, and take the more prosperous increase. The pipeline is an important step forward for the Iraqi Kurds. However, it was not able to Iraqi Kurds to take any step if they did not Arsgua foundations that facilitate this development. These foundations are based on mainly two issues: stability within Iraqi Kurdistan, and the increasingly hostile relationship steadily between Iraq and Turkey. In the future, Iraq will, no doubt, to maintain his influence on the northern Kurdish separatist significant pressure in order to extract independence from Baghdad - or with the consent of the socks.


* Intelligence Analyst with the Max Security Solutions, a consulting firm against geopolitical risks taken from the Middle East is based.
* This article was published under the title
Is a Kurdish State on the Horizon?


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